Red flags in our research on Monero: 2. Read them before anything else.

Monero price prediction

$562.24 last daily close, 6 October 2026 XMR PRO Pro Listed on: KuCoin · WhiteBIT · Kraken +4

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Our model projects Monero at $94.43 in 2030 and $167.53 by 2036 — -70.2% against the last daily close of $562.24, in the base case. The 2030 range runs from $2.85 in the bear case to $1,530 in the bull case.

Why below today's price? Most altcoins lose ground to Bitcoin over a full cycle — between the 2021 and 2025 peaks, only 3.5% of those we measured gained on it — and the model starts Monero from that base rate. Why Most Altcoins Lose to Bitcoin, Cycle After Cycle

Forecasts are algorithmic estimates, not financial advice. Crypto assets are volatile — never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Forecast updated 1 October 2026 · Model: alt-ratio 1.9.0

Monero price prediction year by year

Year-end central forecast and the band around it. Select a year for the model's reasoning. In 2026, a quarter that has already begun and has no forecast of its own shows the observed closing price instead: “close” once the quarter is over, “latest close” while it is still under way.

Monero price prediction year by year
Year	Forecast	×	ROI	Y/Y	Range	Low	High	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Conf.
2026	$424.70	×0.76	-24.5%	-24.5%	$148.21 – $919.05	—	—	$321.06 close	$315.19 close	$541.91 close	$424.70	6.8/10
Monero price prediction 2026 What the model reads Bitcoin's trajectory multiplied by today's XMR/BTC ratio and a drift measured across the whole altcoin universe. Nothing is fitted to XMR alone — every per-coin parameter that was tested lost to the shared drift. The shape of the year First year of the trajectory, with no previous year to compare against. Against today -24.5% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 85% of the time; the published confidence, 6.8/10, sits lower — it starts from what our documented research establishes about the project itself, and nothing raises it back.
2027	$304.80	×0.54	-45.8%	-28.2%	$31.52 – $1,666	—	—	$427.66	$389.21	$328.48	$304.80	6.8/10
Monero price prediction 2027 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2027 -28.2% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q1 and the low point in Q4. Against today -45.8% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 85% of the time; the published confidence, 6.8/10, sits lower — it starts from what our documented research establishes about the project itself, and nothing raises it back.
2028	$218.58	×0.39	-61.1%	-28.3%	$16.93 – $1,828	—	—	$288.48	$231.76	$219.04	$218.58	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2028 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2028 -28.3% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q1 and the low point in Q4. Against today -61.1% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 85% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.
2029	$151.18	×0.27	-73.1%	-30.8%	$6.85 – $1,933	—	—	$202.02	$190.68	$173.53	$151.18	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2029 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2029 -30.8% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q1 and the low point in Q4. Against today -73.1% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 84% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.
2030	$94.43	×0.17	-83.2%	-37.5%	$2.85 – $1,530	—	—	$131.30	$107.17	$97.16	$94.43	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2030 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2030 -37.5% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q1 and the low point in Q4. Against today -83.2% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 82% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.
2031	$117.56	×0.21	-79.1%	+24.5%	$3.20 – $6,532	—	—	$105.98	$115.14	$119.59	$117.56	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2031 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2031 +24.5% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q3 and the low point in Q1. Against today -79.1% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 79% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.
2032	$109.34	×0.19	-80.6%	-7.0%	$3.22 – $6,357	—	—	$116.38	$108.09	$106.83	$109.34	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2032 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2032 -7.0% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q1 and the low point in Q3. Against today -80.6% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 76% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.
2033	$109.36	×0.19	-80.5%	+0.0%	$3.19 – $5,974	—	—	$108.47	$107.97	$105.68	$109.36	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2033 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2033 +0.0% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q4 and the low point in Q3. Against today -80.5% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 73% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.
2034	$114.31	×0.20	-79.7%	+4.5%	$3.31 – $6,244	—	—	$109.78	$110.94	$112.53	$114.31	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2034 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2034 +4.5% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q4 and the low point in Q1. Against today -79.7% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 70% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.
2035	$144.13	×0.26	-74.4%	+26.1%	$3.67 – $7,873	—	—	$121.59	$131.33	$137.18	$144.13	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2035 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2035 +26.1% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q4 and the low point in Q1. Against today -74.4% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 68% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.
2036	$167.53	×0.30	-70.2%	+16.2%	$4.60 – $9,151	—	—	$152.29	$158.54	$167.53	—	5.9/10
Monero price prediction 2036 The shape of the year The model puts the end of 2036 +16.2% from where the previous year ended. Inside the year, the high point falls in Q3 and the low point in Q1. Against today -70.2% against the current price of $562.24. What the model does not claim The band is built to hold the price 65% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.

Monero: the case for and against

What our documented research establishes about the project itself, with its sources. It is an assessment of the project, not the reason behind the number: the price model reads price series only.

Monero (XMR) is a well-established, battle-tested privacy network with high organic adoption, active open-source contributors, and robust ASIC-resistant PoW mining. However, its trust score is constrained by severe regulatory headwinds—leading to delistings from most major centralized exchanges—and protocol security challenges, including a 2025 18-block chain reorganization and the 2023 CCS community treasury hack.

Strengths

Launched in 2014, Monero has a 12-year operational history as the leading privacy coin with active open-source development and strong decentralization. en.wikipedia.org ↗

Utilizes the RandomX proof-of-work algorithm to maintain ASIC resistance, enabling broad CPU mining participation. paybis.com ↗

Maintains open-source security practices including continuous fuzzing via OSS-Fuzz and a bug bounty program on HackerOne. github.com ↗

Risks

Faced delistings from over 70 centralized exchanges (including Binance and Kraken) due to regulatory scrutiny under EU MiCA and FATF Travel Rule compliance. godex.io ↗

Suffered an 18-block chain reorganization in September 2025 when the Qubic mining pool redirected hash rate, invalidating over 115 transactions. github.com ↗

The Monero Community Crowdfunding System (CCS) wallet was compromised in November 2023, resulting in the loss of 2,675.73 XMR. www.reddit.com ↗

Red flags

Widespread centralized exchange delistings driven by global regulatory restrictions (EU MiCA, FATF Travel Rule)

Vulnerability to hash-rate accumulation attacks, demonstrated by the September 2025 18-block chain reorganization

Research: trust review · gemini-3.6-flash · 2026-08-10

Methodology

What the model reads

Bitcoin's trajectory multiplied by today's XMR/BTC ratio and a drift measured across the whole altcoin universe. Nothing is fitted to XMR alone — every per-coin parameter that was tested lost to the shared drift.

How the models work · Why Most Altcoins Lose to Bitcoin, Cycle After Cycle

Model confidence

Model confidence for XMR in 2030

The band is built to hold the price 82% of the time. At a shorter horizon, a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more — so we publish 5.9/10.

Only the nearest horizons rest on a backtest. Later years carry a declared level — the band’s design level, capped by our research score — that no backtest can confirm yet; where one found the band holding the price less often, we publish that lower figure.

What model confidence means

Exchanges

Where it trades

KuCointrust 9/10

WhiteBITtrust 9/10

Krakentrust 10/10

MEXCtrust 10/10

Bitfinextrust 8/10

Related forecasts

Monero is one of 510 coins in our crypto price predictions, year by year.

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Before you start

Frequently asked questions

What will Monero be worth in 2030?

The base case puts XMR at $94.43 in 2030, between $2.85 and $1,530. The band is built to hold the price 82% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.

What is the Monero price prediction for 2027?

For 2027, the base case puts XMR at $304.80, between $31.52 and $1,666. The band is built to hold the price 85% of the time; the published confidence, 6.8/10, sits lower — it starts from what our documented research establishes about the project itself, and nothing raises it back.

How high can Monero go by 2036?

The top of the model’s 2036 uncertainty band is $9,151. The base case remains $167.53 — read the range, not the single number.

What will Monero be worth in 10 years?

Our furthest horizon is 2036, about ten years out: the base case puts XMR at $167.53, between $4.60 and $9,151. The band is built to hold the price 65% of the time; at a shorter horizon a backtest in today’s market found such bands holding the price only 59% of the time, and a figure further out cannot claim more, so we publish 5.9/10.

Is Monero a good long-term investment?

Our base case for Monero in 2036 is -70.2% against today’s price — below where it trades now — inside a band from $4.60 to $9,151. That is not financial advice, and not a recommendation either way.

Monero price prediction

Monero price chart

Pro forecast

Monero price prediction year by year

Monero price prediction 2026

Monero price prediction 2027

Monero price prediction 2028

Monero price prediction 2029

Monero price prediction 2030

Monero price prediction 2031

Monero price prediction 2032

Monero price prediction 2033

Monero price prediction 2034

Monero price prediction 2035

Monero price prediction 2036

Monero: the case for and against

Related forecasts

Frequently asked questions