Red flags in our research on Decentraland: 1. Read them before anything else.

Decentraland price prediction

$0.0996 -2.6% 24h MANA PRO Pro Listed on: Binance · WhiteBIT · Bybit +30

Decentraland price chart

Actual price Our forecast 85% range

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Our model projects Decentraland at $0.0157 in 2030 and $0.0278 by 2036 — -72.1% against today's $0.0996 in the base case. The 2030 range runs from $0.00071675 in the bear case to $0.1720 in the bull case.

Why below today's price? Most altcoins lose ground to Bitcoin over a full cycle — between the 2021 and 2025 peaks, only 3.5% of those we measured gained on it — and the model starts Decentraland from that base rate. Why Most Altcoins Lose to Bitcoin, Cycle After Cycle

Forecasts are algorithmic estimates, not financial advice. Crypto assets are volatile — never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Forecast updated · Model: alt-ratio 1.9.0

Decentraland price prediction year by year

Year-end central forecast and the band around it. Select a year for the model's reasoning. In 2026, a quarter that has already begun and has no forecast of its own shows the observed closing price instead: “close” once the quarter is over, “latest close” while it is still under way.

Decentraland price prediction year by year
Year Forecast × ROI Y/Y Range Low High Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Conf. Details

Decentraland: the case for and against

What our documented research establishes about the project itself, with its sources. It is an assessment of the project, not the reason behind the number: the price model reads price series only.

Decentraland (MANA) is a pioneering decentralized 3D virtual world platform launched in 2017. It features audited smart contracts, transparent DAO treasury governance, public audit procedures, and active multi-platform client development (desktop and mobile). While active player retention is relatively modest compared to traditional web2 gaming giants, the project exhibits strong operational stability, legal structure, and sustained execution.

Strengths
Continuous platform development and multi-platform distribution, including Decentraland 2.0 desktop updates and expansion to the Epic Games Store and Android Google Play store. — no verifiable source
Established decentralized governance with transparent treasury management, regular DAO proposals, and independent financial auditing. — no verifiable source
Audited token smart contracts and an active Security Advisory Board with documented vulnerability disclosure and mitigation practices. — no verifiable source
Risks
Concurrent active daily player metrics remain low compared to mainstream virtual world and gaming platforms. — no verifiable source
Historical web infrastructure security disclosures, including exposed API keys and RTMP password exposures, required remediation in 2025. — no verifiable source
High historical valuation drawdowns (>98%) reflect strong dependency on speculative metaverse sector cycles. — no verifiable source
Red flags
Persistent challenge in building and maintaining high active concurrent user counts relative to land valuations

Research: trust review · gemini-3.6-flash · 2026-08-22

Methodology
What the model reads

Bitcoin's trajectory multiplied by today's MANA/BTC ratio and a drift measured across the whole altcoin universe. Nothing is fitted to MANA alone — every per-coin parameter that was tested lost to the shared drift.

How the models work · Why Most Altcoins Lose to Bitcoin, Cycle After Cycle

Model confidence
Model confidence for MANA in 2030

The band is built to hold the price 82% of the time. The published confidence, 7.3/10, sits lower: it starts from what our documented research establishes about the project itself, and nothing raises it back. It eases to 6.5/10 by 2036 so that long-range bands stay readable.

Only the nearest horizons rest on a backtest. Later years carry a declared level — the band’s design level, capped by our research score — that no backtest can confirm yet; where one found the band holding the price less often, we publish that lower figure.

What model confidence means

Exchanges
Where it trades
Binancetrust 10/10
WhiteBITtrust 9/10
Bybittrust 9/10
OKXtrust 10/10
CoinWtrust 8/10
Before you start

Frequently asked questions

What will Decentraland be worth in 2030?
The base case puts MANA at $0.0157 in 2030, between $0.00071675 and $0.1720. The band is built to hold the price 82% of the time; the published confidence, 7.3/10, sits lower — it starts from what our documented research establishes about the project itself, and nothing raises it back.
What is the Decentraland price prediction for 2027?
For 2027, the base case puts MANA at $0.0506, between $0.0209 and $0.2072. The band is built to hold the price 85% of the time; the published confidence, 7.3/10, sits lower — it starts from what our documented research establishes about the project itself, and nothing raises it back.
How high can Decentraland go by 2036?
The top of the model’s 2036 uncertainty band is $0.2966. The base case remains $0.0278 — read the range, not the single number.
What will Decentraland be worth in 10 years?
Our furthest horizon is 2036, about ten years out: the base case puts MANA at $0.0278, between $0.00102293 and $0.2966. Model confidence 6.5/10 means the range is built to hold the price 65% of the time.
Is Decentraland a good long-term investment?
Our base case for Decentraland in 2036 is -72.1% against today’s price — below where it trades now — inside a band from $0.00102293 to $0.2966. That is not financial advice, and not a recommendation either way.