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Red Flags Rain

Rain Red Flags: What Our Research Found

Our research gives Rain a trust score of 95 out of 1000. Below: the red flags it found, the sources it read, and what the score does and does not mean.

StakeBible Research Updated 3 min read

Trust score

95/1000

from our latest grounded research, on a 0–1000 scale

Open the Rain page
Red flags
5
Risks
3
Strengths
1
Sources cited
0
Researched
Price forecast
not published

A low score is a reason to read carefully, not a verdict. It measures what our research could verify about the project, not where the price goes next.

In this article
  1. Red flags
  2. The research summary
  3. Risks and strengths
  4. What the score means
  5. Transparency

Red flags

The warning signs our research wrote down, in its own words.

  • Direct on-chain wallet and funding links to networks associated with serial crypto fraud allegations (Moshe Hogeg, TOMI, DOP, Sirin Labs).
  • Evidence of deployer-controlled liquidity manipulation and wash trading on Uniswap V3 and CEX deposit addresses.
  • Multi-billion dollar market capitalization disconnected from organic user adoption and revenue.
  • Total Value Locked consisting almost entirely of the protocol's own illiquid native token.
  • Explicit alert from major on-chain investigator ZachXBT warning investors to avoid the project.

The research summary

Rain Protocol (RAIN) shows severe indicators of market manipulation and elevated risk of fraud. In June 2026, on-chain investigator ZachXBT issued a public warning advising investors to avoid Rain Protocol 'at all costs.' His investigation traced RAIN's deployer and funding wallets directly to previous failed or controversial projects (TOMI, DOP, Sirin Labs) linked to Moshe Hogeg, who faced law enforcement accusations in a $290 million crypto fraud scheme.

Risks and strengths

Risks

  • On-chain analysis linked RAIN team addresses and funding sources to previous controversial projects (TOMI, Data Ownership Protocol, Sirin Labs) associated with Moshe Hogeg, who was investigated and charged over an alleged $290 million crypto fraud.
  • The project's reported $27.2 million TVL consists almost entirely of its own illiquid native token rather than external asset deposits.
  • Prominent blockchain sleuth ZachXBT issued a public warning advising investors to avoid Rain Protocol at all costs due to extreme red flags and lack of fundamental traction.

Strengths

  • RAIN is listed for trading across central exchanges including Gate, MEXC, and KuCoin.

What the score means

The trust score is a gate. It limits what we are willing to say about a coin: below 150 we treat a project as dead and never put it in a selection, and the confidence we publish for a forecast can never be higher than the score allows.

It is not a safety rating and not a price signal. We tested it as a predictor of returns and it failed: a low-trust coin can still rally, and a high-trust one can still fall.

Transparency

Research
gemini-3.6-flash ·
Published
Updated

Forecasts are algorithmic estimates, not financial advice. Crypto assets are volatile — never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Rain is one of 510 coins in our crypto predictions, year by year.